Dearth of Ships Delays Drilling of Offshore Oil

June 19, 2008

By JAD MOUAWAD and MARTIN FACKLER
New York Times

As President Bush calls for repealing a ban on drilling off most of the coast of the United States, a shortage of ships used for deep-water offshore drilling promises to impede any rapid turnaround in oil exploration and supply.

In recent years, this global shortage of drill-ships has created a critical bottleneck, frustrating energy company executives and constraining their ability to exploit known reserves or find new ones. Slow growth in oil supplies, at a time of soaring demand, has been a major factor in the spike of oil and gasoline prices.

Mr. Bush called on Congress Wednesday to end a longstanding federal ban on offshore drilling and open the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for oil exploration, arguing that the steps were needed to lower gasoline prices and bolster national security. But even as oil trades at more than $135 a barrel — up from $68 a year ago — the world’s existing drill-ships are booked solid for the next five years. Some oil companies have been forced to postpone exploration while waiting for a drilling rig, executives and analysts said.

Demand is so high that shipbuilders, the biggest of whom are in Asia, have raised prices since last year by as much as $100 million a vessel to about half a billion dollars.

“The crunch on rigs is everywhere,” said Alberto Guimaraes, a senior executive at Petrobras, the Brazilian oil company that has discovered some of the most promising offshore oil but has been unable to get at it.

“Almost 100 percent of the oil companies are constrained in their investment program because there is no rig available,” he said.

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New Stock Picks

May 8, 2008

Water
NWPX – Pipes
CCC – Purification
INSU – Pipe rehab
LNN – Irrigation for Agriculture

Oil & Gas
CLR – Bakken
KOG – Bakken
ENB – Canadian oil pipeline
NGS – Nat Gas Service Equip (non-conventional production)
SGY – US Oil & Gas Producer
XTO – Oil & Gas Producer
CRZO – Barnett Shale
ATW – Deep water driller
RIG – Deep water driller
PBR – Brazilian Oil Producer

Agriculture/Commodities
MEA – Scrap Metal Recycler
TWI – Ag Equipment
MOS – Fertilizer
POT – Fertilizer
MTL – Russian Mining/Steel

Brazilian Banks (Brazil’s credit rating just raised to investment grade)
ITU
UBB
BBD

Others
ELMG – Wireless Communications/Defense (excellent weekly chart)
VISN – Chinese Mass Transit Ads (IPO off to a very strong start on major growth)
WGOV – Turbine and Electrical Controls for Alternative Energy Generation via Wind/Steam


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