New Stock Picks

Water
NWPX – Pipes
CCC – Purification
INSU – Pipe rehab
LNN – Irrigation for Agriculture

Oil & Gas
CLR – Bakken
KOG – Bakken
ENB – Canadian oil pipeline
NGS – Nat Gas Service Equip (non-conventional production)
SGY – US Oil & Gas Producer
XTO – Oil & Gas Producer
CRZO – Barnett Shale
ATW – Deep water driller
RIG – Deep water driller
PBR – Brazilian Oil Producer

Agriculture/Commodities
MEA – Scrap Metal Recycler
TWI – Ag Equipment
MOS – Fertilizer
POT – Fertilizer
MTL – Russian Mining/Steel

Brazilian Banks (Brazil’s credit rating just raised to investment grade)
ITU
UBB
BBD

Others
ELMG – Wireless Communications/Defense (excellent weekly chart)
VISN – Chinese Mass Transit Ads (IPO off to a very strong start on major growth)
WGOV – Turbine and Electrical Controls for Alternative Energy Generation via Wind/Steam

27 Responses to New Stock Picks

  1. Jason says:

    One month returns:

    NWPX – Pipes +4.11%

    CCC – Purification +13.15%

    INSU – Pipe rehab -1.25%

    LNN – Irrigation for Agriculture +13.85%

    CLR – Bakken +44%

    KOG – Bakken +16.72%

    ENB – Canadian oil pipeline +5.46%

    NGS – Nat Gas Service Equip (non-conventional production) +21%

    SGY – US Oil & Gas Producer -1.81%

    XTO – Oil & Gas Producer +4.08%

    CRZO – Barnett Shale +6.07%

    ATW – Deep water driller +2.73%

    RIG – Deep water driller -6.32%

    PBR – Brazilian Oil Producer +9.29%

    MEA – Scrap Metal Recycler +7.59%

    TWI – Ag Equipment +11.11%

    MOS – Fertilizer +13.33%

    POT – Fertilizer +12.58%

    MTL – Russian Mining/Steel +4.73%

    ITU – Brazilian Bank +2.44%

    UBB – Brazilian Bank -4.54%

    BBD – Brazilian Bank -1.72%

    ELMG – Wireless Communications/Defense -8.87%

    VISN – Chinese Mass Transit Ads +1.2%

    WGOV – Turbine and Electrical Controls for Generation via Wind/Steam +15.70%

  2. Jason says:

    If you haven’t already, cut ELMG from this group. The action this month has totally destroyed the weekly chart setup and it just gave up daily chart final support in the last two days. We’ll take the -18.5% pounding and throw in the towel.

  3. Jason says:

    We’ll take some profits here. Long term holders or those with large positions may want to hold some open as there is a good chance we will come back to these again later.

    NWPX +18.8%

    CLR +30.2%

    KOG +36.5%

    WGOV +14.8%

  4. Jason says:

    For those looking to add positions consider:

    Water Plays – CCC, INSU, LNN

    Oil & Gas – ATW, PBR, RIG

    Ag/Commodity – MEA, MTL

    Brazilian Banks – BBD, ITU, UBB

    China (Olympics) – VISN

  5. Jason says:

    Ok, time to take some more profits. I reluctantly suggest booking the following:

    ATW +20.4%

    NGS +16.8%

    MEA + 27.9%

    All great charts that may go much higher yet; but I’ll be patient and take the lower risk gains for now. As before, long term holders or those with large positions may want to hold some of the positions open as there is a very good chance we will come back to these again later.

  6. Jason says:

    For those looking to add positions consider:

    Water Plays – CCC, INSU, LNN

    Oil & Gas – PBR, RIG

    Ag/Commodity – MOS, MTL

    Brazilian Banks – BBD, ITU, UBB

    China (Olympics) – VISN

  7. Jason says:

    Ok, time for a new Bakken play. For all you Cra-maniacs, I’m jumping on the NOG train. We’ve got an opener at $12. Would love to pick some up under $9.

    NOG – Bakken

  8. Jason says:

    For those looking to add positions consider:

    Water Plays – CCC, INSU, LNN

    Oil & Gas – CRZO, ENB, PBR, RIG, XTO

    Ag/Commodity – MOS, MTL, POT

    Brazilian Banks – BBD, ITU, UBB

    China (Olympics) – VISN

  9. Jason says:

    Ok, it’s beta time.

    For those looking to add positions consider:

    Water Plays – CCC, INSU, LNN

    Brazilian Banks – BBD, ITU, UBB

    China (Olympics) – VISN

    Alternative Energy – WGOV

    Accumulate on weakness:

    Oil & Gas – ATW, CRZO, ENB, PBR, RIG, SGY, XTO

    Ag/Commodity – MEA, MOS, MTL, POT, TWI (having a great week!)

  10. Jason says:

    House cleaning time.

    Taking a few more profits.

    TWI +7.5%

    WGOV (again) +26.1%

    And trimming the energy exposure with a few losses.

    CRZO -20.4%

    XTO -22.4%

    We still like all of these stocks.

    Not being greedy with the profits.

    Surprised by the rapid deterioration in energy stocks.

  11. Jason says:

    Looks like we missed one yesterday.

    MTL -30.0% (including dividend)

  12. Jason says:

    Trim one more energy play at just about flat.

    ENB +1.4% (including dividend)

  13. Jason says:

    Taking some more profits.

    VISN +34.2%

  14. Jason says:

    Adding to the NOG position here under $9 as suggested above.

    Cost basis now under $10.

  15. Jason says:

    Adding a few new agriculture picks.

    Ag/Commodity – CF, IPI, MON, SQM

  16. Jason says:

    Stop loss on another energy play.

    SGY -30.2%

  17. Jason says:

    We’ll take some more profits here.

    CCC +13.2%

    We’ll also drop another one at flat.

    INSU -0.8%

    Long term holders or those with large positions may want to hold some open as there is a good chance we will come back to these again later.

  18. Jason says:

    Dropping a Brazilian bank on stop loss.

    BBD -20.8%

  19. Jason says:

    Dropping a few of the Ag plays on weakness.

    MON -2.5%

    SQM -2.4%

  20. Jason says:

    Cut a water play on stop loss.

    LNN -25.1% (including dividends)

  21. Jason says:

    Giving back some gains on this one.

    MEA -16.1%

  22. Jason says:

    More oil plays stop out.

    NOG -31.6%

    PBR -25.2%

    RIG -22.9%

  23. Jason says:

    More Ag plays stop out.

    IPI -25.2%

    MOS -27.5% (including dividend)

    POT -22.2% (including dividend)

  24. Jason says:

    Brazilian bank stops out.

    UBB -21.3%

  25. Jason says:

    Another Brazilian bank stops out.

    ITU -19.9% (after split, including dividends)

  26. Jason says:

    The last Ag play stops out.

    CF -28.4%

  27. Jason says:

    Really disappointing finish here, especially with the great opening first month. The meltdown in energy and commodity stocks was unexpected and vicious. We left many profits on the table.

    Overall we were down just over 5% before commissions for the four months. The S&P 500 dropped over 11% during this time. Even with the losses in the end, we were able to beat the S&P 500 by over two to one. It helps when you make almost 7.5% in the first four weeks and book an average gain over 18% on your first 8 closed trades.

    A shorter holding time, as we use in the Security Growth Alert, would have helped this set of trades immensely. We were looking to develop a longer holding period portfolio here, but the market did not cooperate. This is not an investor’s market as the hyperactivity only leaves small windows of profit for the most agile of traders.

Leave a comment